The Inaccuracy of the Mood Disorder Questionnaire for Bipolar Disorder in a Community Sample: From the “DYMERS” Construct Toward a New Instrument for Detecting Vulnerable Conditions

Background/Objectives: The Mood Disorder Questionnaire (MDQ) is a widely used tool for the early detection of Bipolar Disorder (BD), yet its diagnostic accuracy remains debated. In particular, the MDQ often yields false positives in individuals with anxiety, stress-related, or personality disorders, raising questions about its clinical utility. This study aimed primarily to evaluate the sensitivity, specificity, and predictive values of the MDQ in identifying BD within a large, community-based sample using structured clinical interviews. Additionally, we explored the construct of DYMERS (Dysregulation of Mood, Energy, and Social Rhythms Syndrome), a proposed condition characterized by mood instability, hyperactivation traits, and rhythm dysregulation among MDQ-positive individuals without a formal psychiatric diagnosis. Methods: A total of 4999 adults were surveyed across six Italian regions using a stratified random sampling method. Psychiatric diagnoses were established using DSM-IV-TR criteria via the Advanced Neuropsychiatric Tools and Assessment Schedule (ANTAS). The MDQ was administered face to face in its validated Italian version, with a positivity cut-off of ≥7. The MDQ exhibited low sensitivity and high specificity (0.962; 95% CI: 0.961–0.963). Results: Among 2337 analyzable cases, the MDQ showed high specificity (96.2%) but low sensitivity (42.9%) for BD, indicating limited effectiveness as a screening tool. In clinical terms, this implies that while MDQ-positive individuals are unlikely to be false positives, a substantial proportion of true BD cases are not identified. Notably, a significant subgroup of MDQ-positive individuals without psychiatric diagnoses displayed features consistent with DYMERS. Conclusions: Our findings confirm the limited screening value of the MDQ for BD in community samples. However, MDQ positivity may help identify a broader spectrum of mood and rhythm dysregulation not captured by current diagnostic systems. Future research should focus on validating DYMERS as a clinical entity and on developing targeted diagnostic instruments capable of capturing this emerging dimension of psychopathology.