Prioritization of Disruptive Risks in Sustainable Closed-Loop Manufacturing Supply Chains

Manufacturing industries are increasingly applying sustainable closed-loop supply chains (CLSCs) to meet economic, environmental, and societal goals. The increasing complexity and interdependence associated with the sustainability CLSCs make them highly vulnerable to disruption risks that threaten continuity and sustainability. However, prior studies fall short of guiding how disruption risks in sustainable CLSCs can be systematically prioritized under uncertainty in a stable and decision-relevant manner. To fill this literature void, this study develops a hybrid of the Fuzzy Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (Fuzzy-TOPSIS) method and the genetic algorithm (GA) technique to prioritize disruption risks under uncertainty. Triangular fuzzy numbers are used to capture the imprecision of 13 experts from industry and academia, whereas the GA technique used aimed to improve stability and reduce the variability commonly observed in conventional fuzzy multi-criteria decision-making methods. The method is validated through a real-world case study, identifying supplier disruption risk, route disruption risk, and industrial accidents as the most critical risks. Moreover, sensitivity analysis is conducted to validate the robustness of GA-based Fuzzy-TOPSIS, demonstrating its superior stability and reliability compared to the classical Fuzzy-TOPSIS method in uncertain environments. The novelty of this study lies in embedding a GA-driven approach within the fuzzy-TOPSIS structure to explicitly address ranking instability under uncertainty in sustainable CLSCs. The study provides significant theoretical contributions by enhancing multi-attribute decision-making regarding disruption risk in sustainable CLSC literature, as well as practical insights for decision-makers to efficiently allocate resources by focusing mitigation investments on consistently high-priority risks instead of low-priority ones.